|FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Thursday, Oct. 14, 1999
Brad Hayward (510) 987-9195
UC WORKING TO MEET CHALLENGE OF "TIDAL WAVE II"
Facing dramatic enrollment growth over the next decade, the University of California is
working aggressively to design ways of accommodating approximately 40 percent more
students while preserving quality instructional and research programs, UC officials told
the Board of Regents today (Oct. 14).
The university is pursuing a range of strategies for expanding capacity to meet enrollment
demand, with a focus on creative solutions tailored to the needs of individual campuses
and their surrounding communities.
"The university is committed to accommodating the students who are headed our
way," said UC President Richard C. Atkinson. "We absolutely must keep our
promise of access to California's students, and we will do so in ways that maximize
efficiency while preserving quality.
"The challenge of enrollment growth presents the university with a
tremendous opportunity -- an opportunity to serve the educational needs of a growing and
diverse population, and thus to expand the university's contributions to the economic and
societal well-being of California as a whole," Atkinson said.
The California Postsecondary Education Commission recently reported that between now and
2010, California's public institutions of higher education can expect enrollments to rise
by more than 700,000 students. This enrollment surge, dubbed "Tidal Wave II" by
former UC President Clark Kerr, is attributable to growth in the college-age population
and anticipated increases in college participation rates, among other factors.
UC fully intends to continue meeting its obligation under the Master Plan for Higher
Education to enroll students from the top 12.5 percent of California's high school
graduating class each year. As a result, the university expects enrollments on its general
campuses to grow by approximately 60,000 full-time-equivalent students to a level of
210,000 by 2010.
This increase equals the university's total enrollment growth over the last 30 years and
also is equivalent to the existing enrollments of UC Berkeley and UCLA combined.
UC enrollments also grew sharply in the 1960s. However, the growth now facing UC is
expected to last for a longer period of time, and a smaller proportion of the growth will
be absorbed by the development of new campuses. The university plans to open one new
campus, UC Merced, in 2005 and enroll 5,000 students there by 2010.
To accommodate the enrollment growth of the coming years, the university is pursuing a
variety of other solutions, including:
-- Expanding instructional activity during the summer. Currently, student fees are higher
for the summer session because it is not state-supported. To help ease the enrollment
crunch, UC will increase instructional offerings in the summer, a step that will require
-- Enrolling more students at off-campus locations, such as the Education Abroad Program;
the Washington, D.C., center; and new off-campus centers similar to those now operating in
Ventura and Fresno. The university's 2000-01 budget proposal requests funding for
development of another off-campus center in the Santa Clara Valley.
-- Expanding regular enrollments during the fall, winter and spring
quarters, with sensitivity to the concerns of the campuses' surrounding communities.
-- Continuing to improve students' time to graduation. Currently, UC
students graduate in 13 quarters on average. The university will continue working to
facilitate students' ability to earn a diploma in 12 quarters.
Each campus will pursue the strategies that best fit local needs. UC will send a report to
the Legislature in April 2000 providing further details about the university's planning.
Atkinson emphasized that meeting the enrollment challenge will not be a simple task and
will require the support of the state as a whole. Campus growth, along with upgrades of
existing facilities, will require $500 million per year in capital funding. The university
will need to hire approximately 3,000 new faculty members for enrollment growth alone.
Student services, from housing to advising, will likewise require expansion.
UC must also continue to receive the operating budget support necessary to preserve the
high-quality programs that attract students to the university in the first place, Atkinson
"We will grow wisely, we will be innovative and we will work cooperatively with our
neighbors and with our partners in the other segments of higher education," Atkinson
said. "This is not a challenge we can tackle alone. It truly is an issue of shared
responsibility for California's children, and for the future of the state."
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Tidal Wave II fact sheet